REVEALED: A BIG negative for the favourite in today’s Greatwood Gold Cup

By on February 29, 2020

Today’s feature race is the Greatwood Gold Cup Chase at Newbury at 3.15.

Let’s delve into the trends of the past winners to see if they can help you find a winner.

11/11 winners had at least 1 previous chase win. (Interestingly this would rule out the current favourite Mont Des Avaloirs).

10/11 winners were aged between 6 and 8.(And 14/16 winners were aged 8 or younger).

10/11 winners ran within the last 35 days.(And 14/16 winners had run within the last 6 weeks).

10/11 winners had at least 3 runs that season.

10/11 had at least 1 previous win over 19-21 furlongs.(And 13/16 winners had won over this trip previously).

10/11 winners had at least 5 previous runs over 19-21 furlongs.

10/11 winners had at least 8 previous chase runs.

9/11 winners were rated 132 or higher. (And 11/16 winners were rated 139 or higher).

8/11 winners had at least 2 previous chase wins. (And 13/16 winners had won between 1-4 times over fences previously).

8/11 winners had at least 1 previous run at Newbury.(And 13/16 winners had raced at Newbury previously).

0/11 winners won on their last run.

The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1.

Quite a few solid trends there. As always with these, choose the ones you think are most important to whittle down the field to a shortlist.

Another very important thing to note is that Paul Nicholls’ horses must be respected.

He has won this race an impressive 9 times in the last 16 years and he has 3 runners in today’s race.

Good luck to those of you having a bet.

Enjoy your weekend,
Kris Jackman | Founder Tipster Supermarket

P.S. If you’re looking for a recommendation for a tipster to follow at Cheltenham click here to see who I’ll be following.

They have pulled in £3,284.60 over the past five festivals to £20 stakes and I’m confident they will have another great one this year.