Here’s how to find the winner in the big race today…

By on October 9, 2021
Today’s big race is the Cesarewitch Handicap at Newmarket (3.35).

It’s the second leg of the ‘Autumn Double’ after the Cambridgeshire Handicap which is also run on Newmarket’s Rowley Mile Course.

It always attracts a huge field (33 runners this year) and so delving into the stats and trends is the best way to narrow down a shortlist.

The most detailed article on the race I’ve found is from OLBG here. 


Here’s what caught my eye from the above article…

Trainer Stats:

Over the past twenty years it been possible to blindly back (either win or EW) the runners from three trainers:

W P Mullins
16 runners.
3 winners.
6 places.
26.50 points WIN profit.
18.44 points EW profit.

Mark Johnston
33 runners.
2 winners.
6 places.
51.00 points WIN profit.
33.88 points EW profit.

Nicky Henderson
12 runners.
2 winners.
4 places.
52.00 points WIN profit.
35.13 points EW profit.

All three have runners in this year’s renewal.


Jockey Stats:

Four big name jockeys that are riding today have failed to have a winner despite riding multiple times:

Joe Fanning (0-14).
J F Egan (0-11).
Jim Crowley (0-11).
William Buick (0-10).


Trends:

Based on the past twenty runnings…

20/20 – Not at HYD, GDW or AYR (LTO).
20/20 – Official Rating of 83+.
20/20 – Never won a Class 1.
20/20 – Previously ran over 15f+.
20/20 – Debut was not in Ireland.
19/20 – Not over 14f or 14.5f (LTO).
19/20 – Drawn no higher than Stall 25.
19/20 – Had won 1-5 Handicaps.
19/20 – Fewer than 8 season starts.
19/20 – In a Class 3 or higher (LTO).
19/20 – No won off bigger than 16/1.
19/20 – Ran over 7f+ on debut.
18/20 – Finished in the first 6 (LTO).
18/20 – 2-5 Career wins on turf.
18/20 – Top 2 finish with last 5 runs.
18/20 – No HG or just CheekPieces.
17/20 – Highest class placed of L-Cl3.
17/20 – Either a filly or gelding.

Hopefully you’ll put some of the above to good use.

Good luck to those having a bet.
Have you watched this free video yet?


Today’s your last chance as it’s coming down imminently.


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Enjoy your weekend,
Kris Jackman | Founder Tipster Supermarket