What a cracking day for Snowy!

By on January 11, 2020

After several days of having no bets Snowy was back with a bang today.

Four bets with two EW’s coming in and a 7/1 winner (which was available at 10/1 when the email came through).

I’ve had a few people asking for a recent selections’ email so they can see how his mind works.

I did share one from the 2018 Cheltenham Festival and a no bet day one as well.

But it’s probably a good idea to share a very recent one and so below and copied and pasted the email members received this morning.

As you’ll see a lot of work goes into this service.

Here’s what Snowy sent to members earlier…

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Good morning.

Following on from the last few days, what price any meeting getting abandoned, either prior to racing going ahead, or even during any meeting this afternoon? 
 I think everything will be ok today, but, as I said in yesterday’s email, anything is possible in this game, certainly at the moment anyway. 
Circumstances (mostly unforeseen) have dictated, that we haven’t had an interest since Tuesday, but that’s about to change today, as in typical Saturday style, everything ramps up a notch or two. 
A busy Saturday it may well be, but it does look a very good afternoon ahead for favourite backers, even in the bigger field handicap races, the question is, can I find any to take them on with and is there any value to be had at all ? 
Well I have come up with a few ideas, but there are risks attached, obviously, so I won’t be advising you to dig too deep into your betting accounts as a consequence. 
Let’s crack on with my views and selections now.

I will begin by looking at KEMPTON’S meeting first, a 7 race card that begins at 12:20 this afternoon. 
Favourite backers will be rubbing their hands together in each of the following races here, they are the 12:20 and 12:55 for obvious reasons, the Silviniaco Conti Chase at 2:05, in which a battle should ensue between the classy pair Top Notch and Frodon and I would say the handicaps that end the day at 3:15 and 3:45 respectively as well. 
In those events, I would like to take the favourites on in each race, but the opposition against them in both, don’t really inspire mew to do just that. 
It is a very similar story in the 2 remaining handicaps, at 1:30 and 2:40, where once again the jollies seem to hold the upper hand, but in these races at least, I am willing to risk a selection, albeit, quite tentative ones, which are as follows.

The 1:30, is a 2m4.5f Handicap Chase, in which 9 runners have been declared, making an ideal candidate for an each way play. 
The youngster / novice Sammy Bill has begun his chase career in great style, with 2 quite impressive displays, winning over course and distance here, then following up at Aintree soon after. 
He began this season, racing off a mark of 110, but today, he will be racing off 135, such is his rapid rise, in just 2 races. 
Whether the extra 11lb following his Aintree win, will be enough to halt his progress or not, is guesswork, but he is a horse on the up and will be a difficult animal to beat later, I suspect, but that hasn’t stopped me trying to find an each way alternative against him. 
Mercian Prince would appear the obvious candidate for that bet, as he loves it here and has actually won this race for the past 2 seasons as well. 
A hat-trick is far from impossible, but I do think this race is better than last years renewal, when he beat just 3 rivals. 
He should go well anyway, as too should Sao, but he must jump better than he has, in the 2 novice chases he’s contested so far this season, if he is to take this. 
I have been toying between a couple in here and because there is just a little more cut in the ground than is ideal for Mr Medic, I have decided to give another course winner (twice over hurdles) ERICK LE ROUGE (5/10 e/w 7/1) another chance today, despite a below par showing over 3m at Ascot last time out. 
It was quite soft that day at Ascot and I think it was that, as much as the trip, that actually found him out that day. 
He’s had 49 days rest since then, which is ideal and he has shown enough promise in previous chase efforts, to suggest he is capable of winning off his current mark. 
The track and trip should be fine today anyway and the ground not being testing, should also suit as well. 
In an ideal world, I would like 2m6f and decent ground for him, but it’s not a million miles from that here and I’m expecting a decent enough showing from him later.

In the 2:40, the Lanzarote Handicap Hurdle, run over 2m5f, no less than 14 runners have been declared to run, but the race may well revolve around the favourite Notre Pari. This 6yo, just might be a blot on the handicap and he could well take this prize with the minimum of fuss, but at 11/4, in a field of this size, I have to find an each way alternative. 
I don’t like the look of any of the outsiders, at big prices here, so will keep things a bit more simple for my selection. 
Burrows Par crossed my mind, but it might not be soft enough for him, yet it might be a shade too soft for Tight Call as well. 
The ground is somewhere in between, which brings in Nothofthewall, who I believe, needs to improve a little on form to figure (it’s possible) and faces handicap company for the very first time today. 
Conditions should be fine Debestyman, but I think he needs further in this company, though with a light weight and the likelihood of a strong gallop (perhaps) his stamina could well come into play. 
I have been left to choose between Burrows Edge, who I have thought long and hard about and LARKBARROW LAD (4/10 e/w 9/1+), with my decision going to the Hobbs trained runner. 
The Hobbs stable could not be in better form right now and this youngster, does have plenty of scope to improve in the next season or two. 
He hasn’t done too badly coming into this anyway, winning 2 from 6 over hurdles and finishing runner up in the other 4 contests, but I feel the best is still to come. 
He won his first handicap at Worcester in October, in game tough style, but has not raced since (80 days off the track). 
I think the reason for that is, he had a wind Op within a week of that success and connections have given him time off, to get the confidence and get used to it, rather than rush him back too quickly. 
They could have gone for a much less testing return race with him, but have opted to come to this race instead, which could be seen as a tip itself in some ways. 
You would imagine the Hobbs stable have plenty of other options for this race, so the fact they send him here, does seem a confident move by them, one which, I’m prepared to back them up with, by making him my pick for the race. 
He has more scope than Burrows Edge anyway, but I could still see the Henderson runner making a big enough impact here, that is, providing he is over a fall at Ludlow 24 days ago, when he came down on chase debut. 
Chasing has been dispensed with already, and his hurdles form does make him a threat.

Moving up to WARWICK, where they also have a 7 race card. 
It’s a decent enough card up here, probably the biggest day of the season for them at WARWICK, with some very informative races here throughout the day. 
The first 4 races will all be for watching though, most notably the Grade 2 Novice Chase at 1:50, which is a decent 7 runner contest and the Grade 2 Novice Hurdle at 2:25. 
The handicaps at 12:40 (a poor contest) and 1:15, which offers little or no value, don’t really do much for me and you know my views on Bumper races, so the 4:00 needs no mention from me. 
I have looked briefly through the card up at Wetherby, but although the card there is ok in parts, I’m not too keen on anything up there to be honest. 
I have no time and space to mention the meeting over in Ireland at Fairyhouse. 
I will stick with WARWICK and suggest a couple more selections for you, in their big field competitive, better quality handicaps, but it will be with some trepidation I must add.

At 3:00, the tapes will go up for the Classic Chase. A Grade 3, 3m5f contest, valued at £75,000, is actually the biggest prize on offer today in the UK. 
13 runners are in todays line up and the winner will have to safely negotiate 22 fences, in order to land today’s big pot.
I must be honest I think the race could well go to one of those fancied runners at the head of the market. 
The Conditional (4/1 fav) was an excellent 2nd in the Ladbroke Trophy at Newbury 42 days ago and Kimberlite Candy (5/1) did exactly the same, in the Becher Chase at Aintree 35 days back as well. 
If either runs a similar race today, then I have to be honest, they will probably be the ones to be with later. 
Racing is a funny old game though and WARWICK is does not suit every horse. 
Neither have run here before, so it will be interesting to see how they cope with the quick line of fences in the back straight. 
I expect they will be fine but would still rather chance something tentative each way against them anyway. 
I expect Le Breuil to come on for his run behind Kimberlite Candy at Aintree and possibly serve it up today, but stable form is a worry coming here, so I have decided to look elsewhere for a flutter. 
Weight might stop Crosspark (11st8lb) perhaps, but he’s finished 4th and 3rd respectively, in the last 2 years in this, so another solid display, is possible from him once again. 
He hasn’t run that well on both starts this season though, so that has to be a concern for his backers.
If Bobo Mac jumps well enough and stays this trip (has won over 3m2f) he has each way claims and he has won around here over hurdles in the past as well. 
Darlac has done little over fences to date and all his form is at trips short of 3m as well. 
He has a bit prove, as do most of the rest. 
Impulsive Star won this on good ground last year, but soft ground and a bad run of form, make him hard to fancy today. 
Also hard to fancy on current form, is my dodgy selection here CAPTAIN CHAOS (4/10 e/w 14/1), but there may be excuse for 3 of his 4 runs this season. 
He has a very bad record at both Cheltenham and Chepstow this horse (ran at both 4 times, not figures in any of those races) and has run at either 3 times this season already. 
He just does not perform at those undulating demanding types circuits, yet on a flatter more conventional tracks, he does seem a much happier sort, certainly since going over fences anyway. 
If you take those chase runs at both Cheltenham and Chepstow away from his record (that totals 7 actually), then his record reads 12 runs, with 3 wins, 3 runner up spots and once finishing 3rd, which overall, isn’t too bad if you ask me. 
He has only run here once, when 3rd in the novice chase here (1:50) back in 2017, when all he did that day, was stay. 
Basically, he needs the mud, which he will get, he wants a trip in excess of 3m and I see that connections have reapplied the blinkers this afternoon. 
They were on when he won 3 races in 2017/18, but were dispensed with after, until they were back on again at the end of 2018. 
His form figures wearing blinkers reads 11415226, so clearly, he doesn’t mind wearing them and they could in fact, just eek out that little bit more from him. 
He has made the running in the past, successfully so too, and I would be surprised if that tactic was to be used later. 
There are few actual pace setters in this, so I for one, wouldn’t mind if they decide to go that route. 
He is no angel, but on his day, quite a capable sort, his 2nd at Newcastle in the Rehearsal Chase (November) will tell you that.
Forget his Welsh National run 15 days ago, he just doesn’t fancy it around there. This is a bit soon after, but at the prices, I don’t mind risking a little.

Finally, at bloody last, the Pertemps Qualifier at 3:35. 
These 3m Hurdle contests, can and are, often just used to get in ot the final at Cheltenham , which is exactly what last years winner did at Leopardstown, prior to being well bet for the final itself. 
Topweight here Sire De Berlais, finished 6th in that Leopardstown qualifier (top 6 qualify in every one) which was just what the doctor ordered, so huis handicap mark wasn’t hindered going into the final itself. 
He won the final, but now races off a 7lb higher mark than that today. I think he, along with one or two others, will be trying to exactly the same thing this time around. 
To get into the final, some of these have to raise their ratings, so these are the ones to concentrate on today I feel. 
Looking down the handicap, I think the likes of Tedham, Its All Guesswork, Igor, Doc Penfro, and One For The team, all fit that category and can be given some sort of chance in here, but I was quite taken by the performance of an Irish raider last time out. 
Jessica Harrington rarely visits our shores, but when she does, I do think we should sit up and take notice. 
She sends over SILVER SHEEN (5/10 e/w 9/1) for this qualifier and as he’s lurking off a mark of just 130, he really needs to perform, if he is to make the final in March. 
Anyway, he has looked very progressive recently and does look like a stout stayer in the making, which could be very beneficial in deep ground around here. 
He is quite lightly raced to date, 1 win from 2 in Irish Points, 2 runs in Bumpers (saddle slipped in both) and just 4 runs over hurdles. With each run over hurdles, he has got better. 
The further he goes, the slower the ground, the better he seems to be. He got off the mark over 2m4f in October, winning what seemed an ordinary contest, but followed that up with a very good display over 3m in November, making all, beating better quality rivals, taking up the running some way out and galloping on very strongly, to win in quite taking style. 
He took my eye anyway with that win and I am sure there is plenty more to come. 
He runs in his first handicap today, so his mark is a bit of an unknown it has to be said, but I do feel he could prove a great deal better than 130 in time, I just hope he’s man enough to face a decent looking bunch of rivals this afternoon. 
That is it today let’s quickly recap now.

Recap in race order…

KEMPTON

1:30 – ERICK LA ROUGE (5/10 e/w) ***Unfortunately he is now a silly price of 5/1+*** I’m not changing my mind but do feel he is way under value now. Take guaranteed odds if you can please.

My ratings are 1-10 so 5/10 is 2.5ptsEW

2:40 – LARKBARROW LAD (4/10 e/w) 9/1+

My ratings are 1-10 so 4/10 is 2ptsEW

WARWICK

3:00 – CAPTAIN CHAOS (4/10 e/w)14/1

My ratings are 1-10 so 4/10 is 2ptsEW

3:35 SILVER SHEEN (5/10 e/w) 9/1

My ratings are 1-10 so 5/10 is 2.5ptsEW

ODDS AVAILABLE WHEN EMAIL SENT

Erick Le Rouge (Kempton Park @ 13:30) [2.5pt EW] 11/2 w/ Coral, Unibet

Larkbarrow Lad (Kempton Park @ 14:40) [2pt EW] 10/1 w/ Coral, Unibet, BetVictor, Bet365

Captain Chaos (Warwick @ 15:00) [2pt EW] 14/1 w/ 888sport, Boylesports, Betway, Betfred, PaddyPower, BetVictor, Betfair Sportsbook, William Hill, SkyBET, Bet365

Silver Sheen (Warwick @ 15:35) [2.5pt EW] 10/1 w/ BetVictor

Blimey, I’m glad that’s finished. Have a great weekend. See you tomorrow

Cheers
Snowy

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Take care,
Kris Jackman | Founder Tipster Supermarket