Lennox Stakes – Race Trends

By on July 27, 2015

The Lennox Stakes is the biggest race for the first day of the Goodwood Festival.

It’s a 7 furlong group 2 race open to horses aged 3 years or older.

It was established in 2000, and was initially classed at Group 3 level but was promoted to Group 2 status in 2003.

I thought I’d have a little dig into the stats to see if I could find any interesting angles.

 


 

Age

 

Lennox2

 

5yo’s have the best winning percentage but make a very small loss to BSP.

It’s possible to blindly back 3yo’s for a profit.

Horses aged 6 and over have not won this race before.

Horses that are 3yo include; Code Red, Dutch Connection, and Tupi.

 


 

Starting Price Rank

 

Lennox3

 

It seems you really want to be looking at the top 3 in the betting market.

2nd and 3rd favourites have the best record and it’s possible to blindly back them for a handsome profit.

At the time of writing Toormore is favourite at 9/4, Dutch Connection is second favourite at 5/2 and Ascription is 3rd favourite at 15/2.

 


 

Race Pace

 

Lennox4

 

(In the above table, H = held up, L = leaders, P = prominent)

Pace wise, it seems prudent to avoid horses that lead and horses that are held up.

You want to be looking for a horse that will race prominently.

 


 

Trainer/Jockey Combination

 

Lennox5

 

The above table shows the trainer and jockey combinations who have won this race at least once.

Richard Hannon and Richard Hughes are partnering on Tupi.

 


 

Finishing Position Last Time Out

 

Lennox6

 

Horses that won last time out are to be respected and it’s been profitable to blindly back them.

Horses that won last time out include; Absolutely So, Aeolus, Safety Check, and Tupi.

 


 

Distance to Winner Last Time Out

 

Lennox7

 

Although if we go into more detail we can see that any horse that lost by less than half a length should also be considered.

Horses that lost by half a length or less last time out include; Ascription and Dutch Connection.

 


 

Race Age Restrictions Last Time Out

 

Lennox8

 

Finally horses that raced in a 3yo only race last time out have a great record.

Horses that ran is a 3yo race last time out include, Dutch Connection and Tupi.


 

I hope you found some of that analysis useful and I hope it has given you some ideas.

If you have any comments on this analysis or any tips or ideas for the race please share below.

Good luck,
Paul

 

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *