Golf Betting Tips

By on August 11, 2015

In this post I’m going to share some golf betting tips with you.

Specifically, tips for picking a tournament winner as well as tips for another type of golf bet that the bookies often get wrong.

 

Golf Betting Tips – Picking A Tournament Winner

 

Included below are 7 factors to consider when attempting to pick the winner of a tournament.

The first two are the most crucial but make sure to consider all of them to really make sure your selection is in with a chance.

 

1. COURSE FORM.

 

All golf courses are different.

And as such different courses will suit different types of players.

Some courses will suit those with a long powerful drive, others will have tight fairways that suit players with an accurate drive.

Some courses will suit those players whose main skill is working the ball in the air.

There are lots of ways one course can differ from the next.

When trying to pick the winner of an event your job is to find a player that is suited by the course.

One way of doing this is looking at past results.

You could look over the previous five years of the tournament in question and look for names that repeatedly pop up in the top 30 or so.

A player that features regularly generally doesn’t do so out of coincidence.

Some courses fit the eye for certain players and when this happens, they generally play well.

 

2. CURRENT FORM.

 

Current form is crucial in any sport.

But in an individual sport like golf its importance is magnified further.

A golfer has no team mates to carry him.

He has to do it on his own.

You want to back a player who’s in a confident mood and is playing well, rather than a player stuck in a rut.

Look back at a player’s tournament results for the past month.

Note down good finishing positions, i.e. inside the top 20.

Especially look for players who have been getting progressively better.

They may be about to peak.

Any player who’s been out of competitive action for a month is best avoided.

He will most probably be rusty.

 

These first two tips are by far the most important.

And you should use them to create a shortlist from which to make your final selections.

Use the factors below to refine your shortlist and remove golfers who have question marks against their name.

 

3. PLAYING CONDITIONS.

 

The prevailing conditions can have a massive effect on whether a player will play to his full potential.

Just as certain players perform well on certain courses, others can do well (or badly) in different playing conditions.

So whilst the vast majority of golfers play well in what we might consider to be good weather, that’s not necessarily the case when the conditions are more testing.

Some players will struggle if it gets too windy. Others will struggle if it gets too hot.

Another thing to consider here is the draw.

Some players will get lucky/unlucky with the weather.

At the British Open Championship 2010, one side of the draw (the early/late starters I believe) were completely blown out of contention.

 

4. TIME OF THE YEAR.

 

Some players are notorious for starting the season well, others for finishing well.

Some need a full season of playing before they really hit their stride.

Others will tire towards the end of the season.

This factor is best looked at when you have a shortlist of golfers to back.

You want to make sure you are backing one that will do well at the specific time in the season.

So have a look at his past history and see if you can spot any patterns.

 

5. MENTAL FORTITUDE.

 

Do they have the bottle to win?

Winning a golf tournament is very hard.

You have to be at the top of your game for several days.

And you have to have the mental fortitude to finish it off at the end.

Some players just don’t have what they need between their ears.

They seem to crumble under the pressure at the end

This is especially true of the majors.

That doesn’t mean you should only back those who have won majors previously.

But beware of golfers who have “thrown away” victories at the very end.

Or golfers who are renowned as “the best player yet to win a major.”

 

6. CHANGES TO EQUIPMENT.

 

Players sometimes change their golf balls and clubs, especially when they change sponsor.

And this can have an effect on their game, especially in the short term.

Avoid backing a golfer in his first tournament after changing clubs.

 

7. CHANGES TO TECHNIQUE.

 

Similarly golfers will often seek to refine their technique. Often this is public knowledge.

The reasons for this could be injury, a change of coach or maybe just an attempt to seek an improvement in their play.

The change may be beneficial in the long run but I wouldn’t want to have my money on a player who is playing in his first tournament after altering his technique.

 


 

I hope you enjoyed those golf betting tips for picking tournament winners.

If you want to take a short cut and get someone else to do the hard work for you then I highly recommend the folks at Bet Fairway.

They are in cracking form at the moment.

They recently made 290.5 points profit in 1 week!

So far in 2015 they have made their members 1229.88 points profit.

Get their tips for the PGA Championship here.

 


 

Golf Betting Tips – 2-ball or 3-ball bets.

 

Golfer’s go out to play a round in either in two’s or three’s and the bookmakers will offer odds on which of the twosome or threesome will have the best score on the day.

These are known as 2-ball or 3-ball bets.

Bookies tend to give many of these short shrift when pricing-up events.

Compilers know all about the stars of the sport, but no compiler has the time to rate 150 to 300 golfers a week properly.

And as a result you can find some great value in 2-ball and 3-ball bets, especially if you focus your betting on golfers that are not right at the top of the sport.

We can find a wealth of information on every golfer on both the American and European tours, and thanks to two excellent websites, it won’t take all day.

Even a beginner can ‘rate’ golfers chances in just a few minutes.

The official sites http://www.pgatour.com and http://www.europeantour.com are the one-stop shops for all of the information you need, they are laid out in an easy to read format, and they’re totally free.

I’ve listed 3 ‘must have’ stats to use when punting on golf, together with a method that combines them in an at-a-glance format.

Let’s start with a very important figure.

 

1. GIR – GREENS HIT IN REGULATION

 

As the name suggests, this figure records the number of greens the golfer reaches in the ‘par’ number of shots allowed to reach that green.

Both the US and the European Tour websites show this figure as a percentage.

So if a player has a GIR rating of 74.30 then he hits 74.3 greens in the regulation number of shots out of every 100 played.

If a golfer has good figures here, he’s probably good value to look after your money, since he’s likely to avoid the hazards that line the fairways.

Make a note of the GIR figure.

 

2. RECENT FINISHING POSITIONS

 

Also make a note of a golfer’s recent finishing positions, these figures are easy to find, they are located in the players’ files.

Take the last 10 tournaments and separate the ‘Missed Cuts’ and the ‘Final Positions,’ for example.

21-23-8-MC-6-MC-12-T8-4-34

Becomes…

21-23-8-6-12-T8-4-34

2 Missed Cuts

Then make a note of the Number of Top 10 finishes in the period, the number of Top 25 finishes and the Number of Other Positions.

So for our example the golfer has the following data.

Top 10’s 4

Top 25’s 2

Missed Cuts 2

Which we can abbreviate to: Form 4-2-2

There is no better form than recent form, and these figures will set you up nicely.

Now for the final stat…

 

3. SCORING AVERAGE

 

This figure is the average score achieved by the player so far in the season.

So if a golfer has a scoring average of 68.52, this indicates the average score he takes to go round 18 holes.

This score takes into account all of the measurable parts of a golfer’s game: Driving, Putting, Nerve, Sand Saves (playing out of bunkers) and so on.

Make a note of this figure too.

You now have 3 very important elements of the golfers game at your fingertips – here’s how you should use them to make profitable betting decisions.

One market that is a perfect hunting ground is the 3-ball or 2-ball market…let’s look at the form for a 3-ball.

 

Richard Green

GIR 72.4

Form 2-4-3

SA 71.2

 

Joe Ogilvie

GIR 72.7

Form 3-3-0

SA 70.1

 

Tom Pernice

GIR 69.9

M/C 0-2-5

SA 72.8

 

Joe Ogilvie would have to be the choice here.

His GIR is slightly higher, and he has a Scoring Average of nearly a stroke lower than Green, his nearest rival.

His Last 10 Tournament form is good too with 3-3-0 scoring higher than 2-4-3.

The situation you are always looking for is when the bookmakers’ have the ‘wrong favourite’.

Try these stats yourself, just rate half a dozen 2 or 3-balls a day until you get into the swing of it – and you could soon be making excellent golfing profits.

 


 

I hope you enjoyed those golf betting tips for 2-ball or 3-ball bets.

If you want to take a short cut and get someone else to do the hard work for you then I highly recommend the folks at Bet Fairway.

They are in cracking form at the moment.

They recently made 290.5 points profit in 1 week!

So far in 2015 they have made their members 1229.88 points profit.

Get their tips for the PGA Championship here.

 


 

 

One Comment

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