An early tip for the Grand National

By on January 20, 2020

I know it’s still a few months away but I read an interesting piece from Ben Aitken over at Narrowing The Field last week and I wanted to share it with you today.

Here’s what Ben wrote…

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KIMBERLITE CANDY put his name firmly in the Aintree Grand National picture…

…by running away with Warwick’s stamina sapping Classic Chase by a commanding 10-lengths.

I had noted Kimberlite Candy to full NTF Members after his staying on second in the Becher Chase on the 7th December, where he received his first taste of the famous fences…

“Kimberlite Candy took to these fences well at the first attempt and you’d think that team McManus will have the National firmly in their sights with the 7yo. 

He’s got plenty experience under his belt with 14 chase starts on the CV and the April showpiece may have been on the radar with this one for some time. 
This was the 7yo’s first spin with Cheek-pieces applied and they certainly seemed to bring about the required improvement.”

Those Cheek-pieces were retained for his victory at Warwick, after which he was raised 10lbs to OR 150 by the handicapper, putting him on a mark that will guarantee him a place in the 40 on Grand National day.

It’s also worth noting that Kimberlite Candy passes four vital Grand National race trends…

15/15 aged 8yo-11yo (0/92, 3p out with range)

15/15 18 or more (UK/IRE) career starts (0/147 17 or less)

15/15 10-24 Chase starts

14/15 previously won over at least 3m1f (1/223 those yet to win over as far) (15/15 at least placed over 3m1.5f)

Saturday’s run put him on 18 career starts so he’s sneaking in at the lower end of that scale, which is no bad thing in truth as that means he’s enough experience for the task in hand but hasn’t been to the well too often for any signs of wear and tear to be making an impact.

He’d be looking for a Good to Soft or softer Grand National to be able to show his best but given the last Good ground National came in 2012, and we seem to be having plenty of periods of prolonged wet spells these days, then there’s ever chance he’ll be lining up on the day with at least the bare minimum amount of required underfoot juice for his needs.

Will it be like taking Candy from a Tiger come April?

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Definitely something to keep in mind.

Kimberlite Candy is currently best priced at 20/1. Although she is only 14/1 with Skybet who sadly seem to be the only major bookie offering non runner no bet.

Could be an interesting punt for those of you that like to bet ante-post.

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Cheers,
Kris Jackman | Founder Tipster Supermarket